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I think this is a bad take.
First of all, there are very few guarantees in life.
Second of all, I think society’s way of expecting 18 year olds to know what they want to do with their lives is not realistic. Going to a university and meeting and interacting with new people you haven’t just spent the last decade with can help shape what those ideas for the future should be.
Learning a trade and joining a union is a great option for some, but I think it takes a special type of person (the same way it takes a special type of person to work with kids, or in the medical space, or with technology). I would never discount that as an option, but certainly not encourage 18 year olds to default to that either
I just turned 40 this year. I had the same thing when I turned 30 - I had wasted most of my 20s doing drugs and partying. I can honestly say that my 30s ended up being the best years of my life (so far)