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Cake day: June 17th, 2023

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  • This post is based on a false premise. These people aren’t unemployable, they’re being actively rejected so that the available labor pool remains sizeable and desperate. The automation hype is just that, hype. Just like the gig economy, it’s merely a way to devalue labor and exploit it while selling the idea as innovation. Some evidence: if automation was really going to make so many people unemployable, then why is the news freaking out over the declining birth rate? Surely if automation is going to take over so much work, we wouldn’t have to worry about who will take care of the elderly.









  • I’m not arguing the market never comes back up, but there have been prolonged periods of time where markets do not recover to previous highs. After the great depression, the US stock market took about 30 years to recover to its previous high and continue growing (https://www.macrotrends.net/2324/sp-500-historical-chart-data). Similarly, it took Japan’s stock market 30 years to recover to its previous high (https://www.macrotrends.net/2593/nikkei-225-index-historical-chart-data) and it’s already on its way down.

    The stock market does not represent economic reality. There are too many tricks with leverage in many forms, including derivatives, which distort the true value. Too much importance is placed on this glorified casino and for the past few decades, the go-to solution has been to pump money into the system at any sign of trouble. It’s not sustainable to keep feeding this beast for the sake of the ultrawealthy who own the vast majority of it.

    A stock market crash does not necessarily mean a run on the banks. There was a run on the banks after the stock market crash of 1929 because banks were over-leveraged with loans used to pump the stock market. That same mistake is being made now, but the difference this time is the government guaranteeing deposits. There are other issues where the government may not be able to fulfill those guarantees, but at that point, is this fragile system worth keeping up? We can’t keep it up forever.

    It’s not FUD to point out that infinite growth is not sustainable. On the flipside, the permanent optimism of claiming the line will always go up in the end and not taking into account the amount of time it can take for that to happen is irrational. The key as always is to diversify, but the makeup of that diversification can vary greatly and the stability of the stock market is not guaranteed.